After four matches in a row with 2 or 3 goals on the match, Velez Sarsfield played two matches without goals - both away, against San Lorenzo and Arsenal. So far, they played three matches at home and scored on all three - twice 2 goals and once only one. After two matches without goals, Velez should be more effective tonight, especially because they will play at home and Moralez and Zapata, mid-fielders will be on the team again.
Olimpo ended only first match with 2 or 3 goals. Next four in a row were finished with the same result, 1:0. Last two matches finished 3:1, each.
On mutual matches between these two clubs, four of the last five matches finished with 2 or 3 goals, while on one were four goals.
There is an increased risk for this pick and therefore I go with a smaller stake.
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