Raonic is a very tall guy and that gives him advantage when he is on service. He has a strong serve which he proved through qualification and in first round. He won two matches in qualy, fired 21 aces against Alves and lost just four points after first serve. In second match he beat Ilhan, fired 14 aces and lost eight ppints. In these two matches he was broken only two times and both against Alves. Raonic qualified in main draw and played against Frenchmen Serra and again he served very well. He had a huge 22 aces and won 81% after his first service.This numbers are telling that he is a big server which is not easy to break. I hope that he' gonna repeat this tonight and if he do that this margine will be broken.
Rafa had a match against giraldo, he broke two times and that was it 6-4.6-4. He will meet now a better server and I expect that he is going to have a little problems during first set until he find the rhythm. Nadal doesn't like this kind of players, when he can't play, when rallies are short. This margine is acceptable for me and I'll take it for a medium stake.
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