My first idea for this match has been under 6.5 goals. I watched St. Louis Blues against Anaheim Ducks, they won 5:1, but we must take into account that Anaheim had a very poor start this season (1 won, 3 defeats, overall goal difference 6:16 - an average of 4 received goals per game). Nashville received only 3 goals on so far two games. They also won against Anaheim, 4:1, and won in Chicago 3:2. It seems that Nashville is in good shape and only question is does a little bit of received goals on previous two matches were coincidence, result of weak attack of their opponents, or result of very good defense of Nashville Predators. I think we cannot know it without watching larger numbers of their matches. This point is important for my pick because Nashville is light favorite of the match and in that case they have to score at least equal number of goals as they will receive. St. Louis Blues won against one of the best Eastern teams, Philadelphia Flyers, 2:1 after OT. They scored only one goal in regular time, but draw and a little bit of goals were expected on this match between equal teams. Flyers could not do more of that since they played away, in contrast to Predators which are host tonight.
The first goalie of Predators, Pekka Rinne, is out with a lower-body injury, and rookie Anders Lindback will play again. He had debut on the last match in Chicago and received only two goals for very good NHL start. Goalie of Blues, Jaroslav Halak, is a novice in the team, too. He was acquired from Montreal this year and on the first two games for Blues he allowed only two goals. He allowed only 105 goals on 45 matches, an average of 2.40 per game, in the previous season, an average of 2.40 per game. Blues also have one injured players, right wing Cam Janssen.
Maybe a good pick for this match is under 2.5 goals home or away team, but I believe that under 6.5 goals bears less risk.
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