If I saw shape of these two teams I would choose victory of Velez Sarsfield. Generally, I have good experience with bet on this club, but tonight I will avoid such tip. Quilmes is too long without a victory, that I must not risk with the final result. Home team is only Argentinean team without victory on the previous ten rounds of Apertura. Their average of scored and received goals on those ten matches is 2.1 goal per game. At home that average is higher, 2.4 goals per game (12 goals on 5 matches). Velez Sarsfield is back in the fight for first place. On the last round this team demolished Colon, 6:0. I watched that game and things did not look in the case, and then suddenly started cannonade. Thanks to that match Velez Sarsfield have an overall average 2.1 goals per game. Only away that average is less, 1.6 goals per game, since Velez Sarsfield played two matches away without goals, 0:0, with San Lorenzo and Arsenal. On matches between tonight's opponents there were not a lot of goals. Mainly, there were moderate number of goals, 2 or 3, but even three of eight the last played matches ended with result 1:0, and one match ended 4:0. After victory 6:0 against Colon on the last round, Velez Sarsfield is in a good mood, complete, and considering the bad edition of Quilmes on earlier matches, Velez is the favorite on this match. However, I reckon that the goals are needed to win, at least two. It should not be a problem, even on each side at a time.
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