Arminia Bielefeld is the team with a lot of problems, firstly financial. According to the results we could be conclude that they are the team in disarray. They tight grip on last place in the standings, with only 3 won points thanks to a victory over also poor team Inglostad. They lost the other 6 games, and the total goal difference is, of course, negative - 6:14. However, at home they won one and lost two matches. Both lost with one goal difference, and overall goal difference at home is 2:3. Regardless of any weaknesses, no one has not demolished them on their own stadium.
Duisburg is the custom on the top of the league table, although it is was not expected from this team in this season, because the squad does not have enough quality for the placement in Bundesliga 1. They won 5 and lost two matches. Bot lost matches were away, against Aue and Union Berlin, while they won against Osnabruck, and overall goal away difference is 3:4.
Arminia Bielefeld did not win at home against Duisburg from 1996! That data is significant which show who is favorite on this match. Even 11 of the last 14 games played between these two teams finished with 2 or 3 goals. No matter what the Arminia Bielefeld is so weak this year, no matter what tonight they will be weakened, since some regulars will not play, I'll rather try with this bet on goals than the away win. Duisburg is in financial problems, too, and I prefer to take the risk to be a victim of his recklessness than some possible shady practices.
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