Tonight's victory over Strømsgodset is the last chance for Hønefoss to avoid play-out. Stromsgodset solved their problems long time ago so they could allow themselves luxury of winning only one point on the last five matches of the championship, as hosts on the match against leading team of the championship, Rosenborg (1:1). At that time, they played one more match at home and were defeated by Molde, 1:3. It was only the third defeat at home in this season, and by its efficiency on the field, Stromsgodset was very successful host – 8 victories, two draws and 3 defeats. Because of that, despite the bad shape at the moment, the odds for victory of Stromsgodset on this match are very low. Tonight’s opponent, Honefoss is in a bad shape, too, which won only one point on the last five matches, at home against Start, 0:0. Honefoss is among the weakest visitors in this season with only two victories, two draws and nine defeats with defeating goal difference, 10:31. That is the most important reason for Stromsgodset to consider themselves favorites on this match. However, why I expect Honefoss to stay undefeated on this match is firstly, the motif of both teams, as well as previous matches of these two rivals. Stromsgodset has, as I already mentioned, secured the stay and there are no chances or aspirations that they will get close to the top. They only have these three rounds till the end and then go on a break. On the other hand, Honefoss can only by winning three points on this match try to secure points in the last two rounds with the help of which they would avoid play-out, so they would secure a certain stay. If they lost this match tonight, they would get themselves into position to save themselves in the last two rounds and risk getting out of the league. Their mutual matches from earlier years, firstly in Adeccoligaen show that Honefoss has something to hope for tonight.
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