Odds on home win began to fall a lot and it seems to me that the guest in this match has more motivation. There is still 4 rounds to the end of the championship and the motives are different tonight since the Portuguesa fights for the first league and Brasiliense is in the red zone where every point is big like house.
Portuguesa is an excellent host and a team who doesn't play a tie game at home. In the last 10 matches they played seven in over and the match they only once failed to score went in under. tonight, they should score because they are very effective at home while on the road Braziliense's tradition is amazing with this opponent.
Braziliense has scored absolutely in every match against Portuguesa whether the matches on the side or at home. More specifically is that in all 9 matches are always given minimum a goal of which 5 times away (100%).
Although Portuguesa is a huge favorite in this clash I have to say that they have only one victory against their rivals from nine meetings, exactly, last match they won in 2004. Because of this really bad tradition I did not dare to play on home win, Braziliense has nothing to wait and this coluld be game with a lot of goals.
In 8 matches, both teams gave mimimum a goal so I decided for that bet.
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