Reliability issues in this part of the season should became rare, but as we saw in Korea, you never can say that there wouldn't be some. Weather forecast for the weekend is dry practice sessions, dry qualifying and dry race. This helps my bet. Wet races usualy produce addiotional retirements, so dry race is key for this bet. In last three of four races we didn't have 19 finishers, as there was two many incidents in Singapore, and wet Korean race, and in Japan we lost four drivers in first lap. This is something that was expected, as last part of the season, outside Europe, is always provides more-evantful and harder races to predict.. Abu Dhabi should be different. It's a new track, but it is not street track, so there is enough place for driver to recover after mistake. There was only one race, it was last year race, and we have only two retirements in that race. Both of them were mechanical failures. During the season, most of the races had 19 or 20 finishers, so I am ready to take some risks and bet that it will happen again. 24 drivers will start the race, and driver is classified if he manage 90% of race distance.
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