This bet offers a lot of value in my opinion, so I am picking Llodra to win this match. Before this event, both players had poor form - Davydenko was losing against average plays regularly, while Llodra was struggling to close matches out. However, that has changed in this tournament. Davydenko played two good matches, although he came very close to losing the one yesterday, being a mini-break down in the tiebreak. Llodra, on the hand, has put away Isner (whose serve is always special on surfaces like this) and, more importantly, Novak Djokovic. This was surely a huge confidence boost and we can see that the conditions suit him a lot, as he loves to serve and volley and this surface is ideal for that.
Surely, we must rate Davydenko as a great player - but I believe that he will struggle to overcome the style of Llodra. He still seems to be a little bit shaky when he needs to be spot on with his shot - and he will need to be in this match-up. In the end, I rate this match as a very even affair and in that case, odds of 2.26 on the underdog offer more than enough value.
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