Another value pick on Llodra, as I think the odds are too high. Llodra beat Davydenko and, most importantly, his head did not go down when he was a break down - in fact, he recovered in a spectacular fashion, breaking Davydenko twice to win the set without going into a tie-break. The surface really suits him and Soderling will have problems to make accurate passing shots. He is great on serve and in baseline exchanges, but Llodra will try to shorten the game and go the the net often and Soderling will struggle to break him down. The Swede also had some minor health problems early on in this tournament. It is also obvious who is the more motivated man and who will get the crowd support here.
I must also mention the h2h record, which is 2-0 to Llodra and both matches were played on a similar surface, so it is obvious that Soderling will have a tough time. The bottom line is, however, that the odds are so high - I think that about 2.3 or something around that margin is fair. 2.61 definitely offers value for me.
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