The club that have made me happy many times, Velez Sarsfield, plays very important game tonight. Playing draw with Estudiantes, two rounds ago, Velez missed the occassion to injoy to Estudiantes on the first place of Apertura. However, Estudiantes lost last night's match against Tigre, 1:2, and Velez has a new opportunity for point settlement. I am almost sure that they will not miss that this time. Velez is excellent at home, with five victories and one draw, goal difference 14:1. That only draw they just played with Estudiantes, 0:0, while River Plate scored only goal as visitor. That means that Velez scored 12 goals in the other four matches at home. Velez Sarsfield are in an excellent shape that they confirmed a few days ago when they won at Banfield, 3:2, thanks to an excellent play. On the other side, Lanus has been better away from home (10 points) than at home (8 points), but they had one match more away - 3 victories, one draw and 3 defeats, goal difference 7:11. They are in series of 3 consecutive defeats, and two of that were away from home. The last defeat was against Estudiantes, 0:3, and that says enough about their strength when they opponent as home team is an excellent team. Tonight, Velez is without suspended Victor Zapata (5 yellow cards), and there are not suspended players. Lanus will be without three regulars - young and talented attacking middlefielder Sebastian Blanco, who will probably leave from the club, while defender Santiago Hoyos and middlefielder Augustin Pellettieri are suspended. All three players are important for Lanus' team. I think that working atmosphere in Lanus is bad, because the coach Luis Zubeldia announced his departure from the club, not because bad results, but since he has a lot of good offers. So, his mission in the club is terminating. Last spring, in Clausura, Velez won against Lanus, 1:0 at home, and of 107 matches against each other Velez Sarsfield won 57 times, 39 matches ended draw and Lanus won 21 times. Taking qualities of those teams, the shape, motives and absences into consideration, Velez Sarsfield is clear favorite on this match and their victory is of great value.
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