US United States

Tip comment

Okay. You arguably cannot go wrong with this pick. Because value is what we get here. Okay, you may argue. The Dallas Mavericks are a great team – overall, the team might be better than the New Orleans Hornets. But is that a factor? They have beaten Miami, Denver (and remember, Denver trashed the Mavericks by eleven points), etc. And yes, they are at home – but is that a factor? The two games they have lost were at home, so there might be some added pressure. The Hornets will surely lose a game sooner or later. Noone doubts that. But the Mavericks, even though they are at home, are not a team that will scare the the Hornets. They are on a huge run and brimming with confidence. I think that the fair odds here are close to maybe 2.2 on the Hornets, so 2.64 screams value to me. I will take it with a little bit lower stakes than usually, but I am confident that this is a good pick. The difference between 2.64 and the usual spread odds is too big for me – the risk is worth the reward in this case. Let's make it 9-0.
Sheppy's picture
Picks Published: 220
Active picks: 0