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Novak Djokovic is a solid favorite here in my opinion. Nadal should have lost against Roddick to be honest, he was making lots of unforced errors, he had average serve, etc. However, Roddick messed up in the tie-break and it went downhill from there on. Nadal usually struggles at the end of the season and I think it will show here. I, unlike others, do not question Djokovic's motivation. The Davis Cup is still far enough and you just do not throw away matches against Nadal. He will also want revenge for the US Open finals. He has a good record against him in indoors conditions and had much more match practice. He also won't mind the slower conditions as much as Roddick, who would have that match on his side if this was a somewhat faster surface. Djokovic has better movement than Andy and he will push Nadal all day long. The odds are solid enough for me to play them and even though Nadal will certainly raise his game for this one, I still have to favor Djokovic by some margin. Good luck.
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