Both teams relegated last year from serie A. This year both are having a good season, also if - while Atalanta is third on table - Livorno is seventh.
One of the reasons is the almost weak performances of Livorno away, where they won only two times against bottom table teams, Albinoleffe and Ascoli.
Away gap for this match seems increased by the fact that Atalanta is one of the better home teams, without losses at home and with only four goals against.
Another reason of my bet is the different state of form: in last five matches Atalanta lost only against Empoli, winning the other four matches, while Livorno has 2-1-2, with the two wins at home.
But, the greatest factor against Livorno is that they have eight first teamers out. They are Tavano (striker 10atts. 3 goals, second topscorer), Danilievicius (striker 8atts. 1 goal), Cellerino (striker 7atts.), Luci (midf. 15atts. 1 goal), Barusso (midf. 10atts 1goal), Parravicini (midf. 1att), Pieri (def. 4atts.) and Volpe (striker 6 as sub). Also important midf. Schiatarella (14atts.), is in doubt. Many problems in attack and midfield for them.
Only one defender (10atts.) banned for home team.
These are the reasons that bring me to bet on home team for this match
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