I believe that there will be a lot of bets to HW. It is real outcome to expect. Aston Villa is not only weakened because of missing many important players, but this team has played very bad away from home this season, too. They achieved only one victory, one draw and five defeats, with overall away goal difference 5:15. Liverpool looks really bad this year, but these results of Aston Villa do not leave large space for optimism before tonight's match. Liverpool has also been desperate away this season, but Reds have not been too bad at home - four victories, two draws and one defeat. To not believe, they were defeated against newcomer Blackpool, 1:2. So, as I already said, many punters are betting on HW today, but I do not like such bets on Monday, I would rather take goals. In spite of all the talk about a large number of absences in the team Aston Villa, this team could be more complete than most expect. Young is suspended and he will not play tonight, it is certain. But we can expect return of forwards Heskey and Agbonhalor, midfielders Nigel Reo-Coker and Stephen Ireland. It is much better story for away team. Liverpool will be without Gerrard, very important in the middle field and Carragher, very important defender.
In the previous ten matches Liverpool made goal difference 13:12, Aston Villa 11:15. So, it is an average of 2.5 goals per game, for both teams. As for matches between each other, previous five matches in Liverpool ended with at least four goals on each, while matches played in Birmingham were marked with lesser number of goals, and even twice without goals. I count on need of Liverpool to smash someone, they already did that against Aston Villa, 5:0 two years ago. Aston Villa plays a very variously and you never know when you might be surprised, either to receive a large number of goals, whether score a lot.
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