I see big advantage for French player Hoang in this match because he has better record on hard courts while Giustino mostly plays challengers in clay and that is where he feels the best. Giustino barely won against Basso while Hoang dispatched very good player Bublik. I think that the fact that this challenger is being played in Italy will only help Giustino win a set but nothing more than that. Hoang wins in three in my opinion.