Derby county in their 16 games, they have 6 wins 9 draws and just one loss. They have 22 goals out of 24 matches played that is an average of 0.92 goals per game equivalent to at least a goal per game. Remember Derby have only lost twice this season and also they have 8 unbeaten run at home against their opponent. Actually they need a win to increase their points to start climbing up. Do a 2-1 is a good option here